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  #28  
Old 05-19-2007, 06:40 PM
Lyric Lyric is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Iowa
Posts: 783
Default Re: Sklansky bux calculator

[ QUOTE ]
lyric, your graphs actually aren't that much different in terms of what they demonstrate about your play. what they tell me (to learn more you'd need to look at other filters):

i) you're running bad when you get all-in on stars (even if u correct for stuff you're still prob running bad);
ii) you're probably not beating either game for more than 1.5-2bb because you aren't winning enough in shown down pots to compensate for what you're losing in pots that don't go to showdown. you're either paying off too much when you're outdrawn or behind, not extracting enough value when you're ahead, or you're simply getting destroyed when neither of you has anything (this one prob matters most given your graphs). it could be (and likely is) some complicated relationship between all three. it could also be that your opponents are just running very well against you for an extended period of time. it could be other things. you'd need to look at a bunch of other filters to start eliminating hypotheses and even then it'd be imperfect process.

your graphs also tell us that people on party show down worse hands relative to your hand ranges, so they probably read hands worse and play worse overall (but that isn't necessarily true, either!). stars looks like a much more aggressive and tenacious (but not in a mindless, call-stationy way) than party. shrug.

the program does have it uses, namely helping people imitate successful styles. if phil adds some more specific board texture filters it'd be even better.

[/ QUOTE ]

Can you tell me which other filters to look at? Judging from other database runs I have done in the past, I do very well in small pots, winning more than my fair share. Additionally, my won $ when saw flop is about 47%, which should indicate I'm destroying my opponents when neither of us has anything.

I value bet fairly religiously. My won $ at showdown is almost exacly 50%.

I have been running bad on Stars, yes. Here is the last 7 weeks, more of the same, except all lines seem to be moving in tandem:


And more of the same for all-in before river:


Does anyone have a blue line that stays above the red line for extended periods of time? None of my graphs for any limit seem to show me running better than expected.

Does anyone have a Party graph where the red/blue are very far apart? Seems strange that they follow so closely.
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