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#11
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If someone ends up with two accounts on the same table and takes advantage, it affects EV. I don't think ZJ did... although I do think if he got two accounts at a final table it would be impossible to avoid. The chief affect on others' EV is, as you stated, having to play against extra entries from a good player.
************************************************** * No......Tell that fish story to the tourists. Having two IDs at the same table is a HUGE advantage. Example#1 If Zee Justin was dealt AK and AJ and gets reraised, he knows that one of his outs are gone and that a lowly 22 can beat him. He can also place his opponent on hands MUCH-MUCH more accurately. Example #2 (the see-saw raise) If ZeeJustin gets a powerful hand he could use the other ID to keep re-rasing the pot to sqeeze out as many chips from the victim that he can. Example#3 If ZeeJustin discards two hearts and either he or his opponent are on a flush draw.......This is a BIG ADVANTAGE. All good 7 card stud players keep track of the discards. In touneys the money is pretty lousy UNLESS you finish in the top 3 spots. If ZeeJustin was able to get two IDs to the final table he GREATLY improves his odds to finsih in the top 3. One 1st place finsh is equal to about 100 money finishes. Also is you have a 1000 players in a tourney with 10 player tables this gives you 100 tables. The odds of one of his six IDs being at the same table are 1-.99^6 = 6% If he plays survival poker and all six IDs survive to when there are 50 tables then the odds get better. 1-.98^6 = 12%. 25 tables 1-.96^6 = 28%. If he can get 5 IDs to survive to 10 tables the odds are 1-.8^5 = 67%. THERE IS A VERY STRONG CHANCE THAT HE FREQUENTLY HAD two IDs at the same table many times. That is not me speaking. This is MATH speaking. If he ever got 3 IDs at the same table then this would give him a HUGE advantage. With six IDs in a MTT his best strategy was to play Ultra survival poker in hopes that two of his IDs end up at the same table. Only Amarilla Slim has a worse reputation than ZeeJustin now. PS Could ZeeJustin's explanation be any more pathetic? The gist was that most other poker players cheat in one form or another. I suppose his actually thinks he was justified in his actions. I suppose Dutch Boyd is happy now because his poker reputation looks golden compared to ZeeJustin's. |
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