27s: disagree with SNGPT?

[Finnisher]

How often is Hero folding the BB next hand in your calculations? I assume ICM over-estimates Hero's EV with a 1100 stack and 200/400 blinds so the 11.6% for folding is probably too high.

With the stacks you've used for the next hand
UTG 1870
CO 3490
Btn 3615
SB 2975
Hero 1550

eg if Btn busts UTG in the hand above the next (2nd hand after OP) is:

CO 6160
Btn 2750
SB/Hero 1125
BB 3465

ICM says Hero will ITM 40%. I don't know but that seems kinda high? And I guess it is or there would be no need to do all the stuff you've done in the first place [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

I still doubt that random players in the lower buy-ins are going to call wide enough to make this a -1% SNGPT push.

BTW, do you have a special program for the NE stuff or just SNGPT?