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Old 05-09-2007, 07:53 PM
Nate tha\\\' Great Nate tha\\\' Great is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
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Default Re: MONSTER variance (w/ graphs)

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[ QUOTE ]
do you agree that you have either 0, 2, or 4 outs the vast majority of the time? What percentage do you think you have each?

[/ QUOTE ]

I didn't have the time to calculate this on the fly obviously, but my guess was roughly:

0 outs = 20%

3 outs = 10%

4 outs = 60%

6 outs = 10%

[/ QUOTE ]

Giving Mike a range of JJ-AA, 88, 77 and half his combos of TT and the other dude range of 88, 77, all reasonable flush draws, T9s, and one combo of AA, I get you as having 7.3% equity with two cards to come which equals 3.6% equity to draw one card which equals a little bit more than 1.5 outs.
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