Derby Picks

[rush66]

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Clark's values are probably correct however, why would you not just bet them seperatly then, rather than better this prop.

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Because the prop gives you +360 or whatever and the parlay will likely pay +240 or less.

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Ok, I see where my regards to this bet having 'value' is incorrect. I am also wondering something about this. In horse racing the odds are set completely by the bettors is that not correct? So saying that +360 has value may be correct in regards to the wagers you could make on the races themselves, however thinking the wager is the correct wager would not be correct because the horse's chances of winning the next two races (as history has shown us) will be overvalued. Just because all the bettors think that the odds are 6/5 or 2/5 does not mean those are the 'correct' odds on that horse.

If this is the case, then I am betting this at -400 because I think it is the correct wager.