Meat And Potatoes Real Life Good Question

[fnord_too]

[ QUOTE ]


Thus you are ahead 5 ways, tying 1 way, and behind 6 ways when he calls or moves in. And it is important that AKo is not in this mix. So overall you are going to be behind 6:5.


[/ QUOTE ]

Your analysis is missing equity. the 6 ways you are behind, you have about 15% equity. 2 of the ways you are ahead, you have about 70% equity. Never do you have more than 85% equity I think, so you are behind on average more than you are ahead on average. I haven't really done any math on the original question, this comment is strictly on your analysis.