$11 - Folded JJ pf.

[kevkev60614]

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

UTG (t2405)
UTG+1 (t2520)
MP1 (t1235)
MP2 (t1825)
MP3 (t2005)
CO (t635)
Button (t1635)
Hero (t1140)
BB (t100)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises to t200</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP3 calls t200, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>

The math here is not straigtfoward. If I assume that my push would be called by ONLY the pf raiser, and if I fold the BB will fold pf and MP3 will fold post-flop, then I need to win ~49.2% of the time. Which gives the pf raiser a range of TT+, AJ+ as breakeven.

The math might've been a big waste of time because it doesn't account for the times everyone folds, or the times UTG+1 and MP3 both call.

I'm pulling the hand out of PT, so assume no meaningful reads.

Edit: It's not a minraise, and I'm retarded. Thank you, seke. I'm still not sure about the hand.