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Old 04-16-2007, 08:29 PM
marching_on_together marching_on_together is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: from hitchin to san fran
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Default Re: another bad river bet-call


Against a reasonable to good player i think miles should just CR the flop as too often the turn will get checked through. In addition with so many draws possible there is a reasonable chance you will get called down light here. While it runs somewhat contrary to that argument i think your best to also CR your draws here on the flop against this opponent. I save my waiting to the turn plays to when I'm against poor players who may bet fold or will at least bet the turn with hands that i have a large equity edge against. i don't think that is the case here.

If i was hero i would only bet this turn with either top pair overpair or a big draw eg QJ (or as hero has the nut flush draw) which i figure to have over ten outs. I would frequently 3 bet both the made hand and the draw esp if the draw has some showdown value which QJ, A$s has here and there is some chance villain can fold.

That being said i'm not keen on miles turn CR if he has any respect for hero's play he should be putting him on a strong hand here.
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