Find the 15% leaks.

[Guthrie]

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Most people here seem to agree that you can teach nearly anyone to beat the 6.50s for 15% in 8 hours, and since "there is no variance," any breakeven player must have huge leaks in his game.

I'm a breakeven player over 2000 6.50s, having moved down from the 16s where I was 4% for >3000 tournies before the latest catastrophic downswing. Here are the hand histories for 22 tournies. They haven't been carefully selected to prove any point, they're just the last 22 I played. The only thing not typical about them is I didn't bust out the first or second time I pushed, and I actually won some all-ins, so there is a finish distribution of 2/2/4, and you can see how I normally play through all levels.

Feel free to take a look and tell me what I am doing that is so far wrong. If you were using these 22 tournies to teach a new player how to easily beat the 6.50s, what would you tell him to do differently than I'm already doing? What leaks can be fixed that would take me from 0% to 15%?

http://pages.suddenlink.net/cdstephens/hh22.zip

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I'm down for this, I'm at work, will look through when I get a chance. Let me just say a couple things:

1) I think your attitude is great. You have decent sample size and you are willing to not scream "variance/luck/people suck/blah blah"

2) It's possible you were just very unlucky during that period.

How many tables at once have you been playing? Over what period of time have you been playing? (last week, last 10 months, what?)

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Well, that's the problem. It's easy to yell variance/luck/people suck, but it doesn't make any mathematical sense. Clearly I'm doing something wrong, but I can't tell what.

I've been playing SnGs for 18 months, >7K total. After yet another downswing, I moved down to the 6.50s, where I had about 500 already, at 7%, and have played about 1500 in the past two months. Now I'm about .31% over 2K. The 22 tournies posted were over my last two day period.

I normally play four tables in sets.