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#11
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here are my thoughts:
1.)in your mind you are value betting the river not bluffing (this is key). 2.)villian is good and capable of making big plays (this is key). 3.)good tricky players are about 1000x more likely to CR shove with worse then your hand in this spot then they are to call (this is key). therefore if you are not going to INSTA-CALL a river CR shove your bet is terrible. as long as you called his shove then i like your line, and i don't care what the results are. if you value bet this river and fold to a raise you didn't have a good thought process before you bet the river. i think it is a little silly to start trying to figure out what he might have AFTER you bet and get CR so all this going back and forth over what hands he'll play like this seems to be besides the point. before you bet the river you should have some idea what hands he has and a correlated idea of with what frequency you can expect him to bluff raise you on the river, because that is the only reason for betting. |
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