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#14
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[ QUOTE ]
I like the flop 3-bet [/ QUOTE ] It felt right to me at the time too, but I was responding mostly on instinct -- "He's raising with any draw or any ace here, maybe even any pair, so f him" -- and thinking about it more I still think it is probably correct: oringal better could easily be on a draw too, will probably pay off with a worse ace, etc. The only thing I have reservations about is that a 30/20 is probably capable of raising the turn on a draw too, and this makes my turn b/f dangerous. Likewise, a plan to turn bet/calldown is almost certainly -EV, so the 3bet sets us up for these errors. All in all, though, I think that (while it's possible) a turn semibluff raise by him is not likely, as he should be expecting to get called down here alot. |
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