Moving the lines by "hot" cappers "free" posts, beware

[trixtrix]

okay let me repeat my post in a different way. my contention is that in general, free picks are exactly 0ev. your original post seems to indicate free picks are -ev, this is wrong. b/c if that is correct, then in a zero arbitrage world, the inverse must be true.

in other words, fading the free picks must be +ev/profitable. does that make sense to you? that you can make free money by fading free picks?

in other words, when you see a free pick, you have no idea if it's +ev capper's right pick, +ev capper's wrong pick, -ev capper's right pick, -ev capper's wrong pick, a random capper's nose pick etc... so you might as well as assume it's absolutely random in the first place