Moving the lines by "hot" cappers "free" posts, beware

[sirio11]

Please, let me know why is your take about the following:


I have seen how the line is moved after some "hot" capper post a "free" pick in gambling forums with a lot of traffic.

If the movement of half a point in college basketball is worth like 10c; I think it would be profitable for the capper to post the wrong pick.

Just for example purposes. Lets suppose he wants to bet Northern Arizona, the line is Weber State-2, and lets suppose in the long run he wins 55% of the time betting NA+2. So that's a 5.5% ROI if the lines he bets are -110.

Now he post a wrong pick, he says Weber-2 is a Winner !!!!!, no analysis at all, since he only cares about winning money and for some reason, he wants all the people in the forum to be WINNERS !!!!

Since he's pretty "HOT", the forum moves the line to Weber -2.5.

Now he can bet NA+2.5 -110 or NA+2 +100 and this means in the long run, instead of a 5.5% ROI, he will have a 10% ROI in this game (basically he's paying no rake in the new line) !!!!!

Don't you think this is a pretty good incentive for him (or them, think syndicate), damn, almost doubling the ROI !!!!

Comments welcome