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#9
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[ QUOTE ]
if that's the range you put him on fine, but I would be pretty surprised if it was that wide. Also I don't really buy this chip position stuff. Pretty sure your EV with a 15k stack is really really close to half your EV with a 30k stack. [/ QUOTE ] Sure. But I'm faced now with a decision that seems to me to be roughly neutral cEV (this is debateable, but nobody has yet offered a compelling argument that it isn't). I'll have t20k 100% of the time if I fold, t15k 65% of the time I call, and 35% of the time I'll have t30k. Given the stage of the tournament (still 1000-1200 players left), I'd prefer to err on the gambly side. Besides, even if I lose, if anybody pays attention to me calling all-in with 9 high, it may some positive side effects (less likely to attack my blinds, more likely to put me on a wide range of hands). So I guess the question could be rephrased -- given the option in a Stars tournament, would you rather (a) maintain your M=25 stack 100% of the time, (b) drop to M=19 stack 65% of the time and increase to M=37.5 stack 35% of the time, or (c) it really makes absolutely no difference? |
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