$215 PP Speed: An Ah Haaaaa Moment

[xPeru]

This has been happening to me too often, so I played with SNGPT and learned something.

PartyPoker $215 Speed Tournament, Big Blind is t600 (5 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

UTG (t3920)
CO (t3020)
Button (t3580)
Hero (t2500)
BB (t6980)

Preflop: Hero is in SB with 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
<font color="red">Hero raises to t2100</font>, BB calls t1800

Flop: (t4800) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (5 players)
<font color="red">Hero bets t100 (All-in)</font>, BB calls t100

Turn: (t5000) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (5 players)


River: (t5000) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (5 players)

Putting the hands into SNGPT and hitting compute gives me a 3% edge for pushing. Normally, I say OK good play, bad luck. This time I put myself in villain's shoes and computed what hands he should call with if I shove 100%. Answer was 63%. Now back to my raise I put his calling range to 63% and I should only be shoving top 35% of hands (with 0.5% edge, obv more with 0%). At this buy-in, with villain being the best player remaining at the table, I now see that my shove was a donk move. TY Eastbay.