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Old 02-08-2007, 08:23 PM
CalledDownLight CalledDownLight is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: burning money in non-ring games
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Default Re: Some Real Bad Beats

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Asteroid/comet striking the Earth that is large enough to cause global disaster: 1/1000

this stat alone proves that these are all made up

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According to NASA: "The asteroids capable of causing a global disaster if they hit the Earth are extremely rare. They probably would need to be about a kilometer or more in diameter. Such bodies impact the Earth only once every 100,000 years on average."

I assumed a human lives 100 years to make it simple.

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???

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if everyone lives 100 years, and a comet comes every 100,000 years, that would be 1 comet for each 100,000/100 = 1,000 generations

since we can assume the comet will kill everyone, your chance of dying from one is 1/1,000

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For this to be right you have to assume that we reproduce only when we reach 100 years old. DUCY?
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