![]() |
|
#17
|
|||
|
|||
|
So we are fully prepared to get all our chips into this pot considering our stack. The only question(?) is whether we should contbet first or check.
I think it makes no difference in case he has QQ (less likely), TT, AK or AQs, we get all-in anyway either by bet/call or check/call or check/push or bet/push (we have 15-17% equity). The interesting part is when he has JJ,99,88,77. I think this range is quite reasonable without any reads. These pairs sum up to 21 hands from the 37 (21 + 3 QQ, 3TT, 8 AK, 2AQs). Against JJ we have 82 or 87% equity (depending on the Jc), against the lower pairs it is 86-91 (depending on the club). I think there are no really possible drawing hands considering our hand and the texture of the flop, so I’m not afraid of getting bluffed out by a lesser hand, and we assumed that we will call anyway. So when we are ahead, we have at least 82%, but possibly 91%. Now I would need an intelligent guess about the followings without any read, if possible. A. We bet 700: He has JJ (with or without a club). He folds x%, calls y%, pushes 100-x-y%. He has 99,88 or 77. He folds x%, calls y%, pushes 100-x-y%. B. We check. He has JJ (with or without a club). He checks x%, bets y%, pushes 100-x-y%. He has 99,88,77 (with or without a club). He checks x%, bets y%, pushes 100-x-y%. |
|
|