DERB

[James282]

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Now that's funny. Overcalling the river has an EV of -1 big bets.

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Like I said, not even a clue how to estimate it.

- Andrew

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Hey Andrew - you are saying that when I cap out of the small blind and lead every street into multiple opponents, even regardless of their action, there is a greater than 0% chance that AJ unimproved is good on the river? Nope, their isn't. AJo is good exactly 0% of the time here. Therefore, the expectation of this call is -1 BB.

Oh yeah, let me know when you scrape together your evidence of people with 30% VPIP in very tight and aggressive games who are big winners, I'm excited to see the data.
-James