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Old 01-24-2007, 10:59 PM
PokerFink PokerFink is offline
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Default Re: Peyton Manning, Greatest QB of all time?

[ QUOTE ]
If Turner's DVOA and numbers etc. indicate better than LT then why don't they give him all of the carries, I think I know why.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think Turner's DVOA indicate that he is better than LT, but I think they do indicate that if LT were to have a serious injury, the offense would not decline all that much with Turner. It would certainly decline less than the general public thinks. Of course, this depends on how well Turner could hold up to a full workload, a question I have no answer for.

A part of Turner's success very likely comes from his limited carries and that he is "fresh" when he is in the game. He will be at or near 100% for almost all his carries, as compared to LT who is often beat up from his bigger workload.

But one theory I commonly see about Turner is that "he has a better yards per carry than LT because he is put into situations where it's easier for a RB to gain more yards (ie 3rd and long)." That simply isn't true, because DVOA acounts for the down and distance, and Turner is comfortably ahead of LT in each of the past 3 years.
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