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Old 01-18-2007, 01:33 PM
fnord_too fnord_too is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: February made me shiver
Posts: 9,200
Default Re: Election! - The Game Thread

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Scott, that was not an error. I had a reason for liking a jeremy lynch last night more than a boiler lynch

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no? maybe i misread then.
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Ok, I think exactly one of the bram, zurv, boiler is a wolf. My order of preference for voting someone off right now is the bram, distant second jeremy (but I would really have to go back and re read before I felt comfortable about this), distantly followed by zurvan.

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you say one of bram, zurv, boiler is a wolf, and in the next sentence you give a lynch order of bram, jeremy, zurvan. how did jeremy pop in there?

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Because I think exactly one of three is a wolf does NOT mean I think think that they are the best three votes. For the math challenged, if I think exactly one of three is a wolf, no matter how I assign the probabilities, at least one has P <= 1/3 of being a wolf.
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