blitzing on third and long and the problem with poker forum advice

[starbird]

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For every difficult situation against even slightly observant opponents, the "best" play is the optimal mixed strategy, not any one of the plays that it contains, no matter how much more +e.v. they may be than others.

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All the plays in the optimal mixed strategy have exactly the same EV, if the opponent is playing optimally. If the trick play has higher EV than the "normal" play, you're not using it enough.

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