I own mike mautsow

[Rolen]

Hello all. This is addressed to the panel, RE the new data

This new data is interesting, and in places puzzling. However, I believe it helps the panel make the correct decision. I believe we now have three independant dataminers, upon which we can make statistical assumptions.

I'm going to break the data down into 5 sections (200/400, 50/100 HU, 50/100 6Max, 25/50 HU, 25/50 6Max), and analyse each of them. If any posters think i'm being biased I really would like to know, it's easy to see things your way even if they are not when undertaking something like this. One thing i'm going to do, and again comments please, is assume G2CU's data is either correct or biased against me if we have no other data source. After all, we can all agree that there is 0% chance he doctored his results AGAINST himself or TWP, but there is >0% chance he did the opposite.

200/400 stats. There is no doubt whatsoever on the validity of these stats. All four sources agree at a figure of -$52326. This is fact

50/100 HU. We have three sets of data, two that correlate and one that does not. G2CU and highstakes agree he was $-4050 while Chris has stats of -$3400 with 6 less hands. Since highstakes and Chris have posted their sessions completely, it's easy to see what's going on : highstakes has a 1 min HU session for -$650 which Chris doesn't have. -$4050, again, fact.

25/50 HU. We only have one source, G2CU's, which i'm willing to accept as correct. -$7037

25/50 6Max. We have two sources, Chris and G2CU, but Chris' data is much smaller and he has admitted to not being able to datamine all 25/50 tables. Even though G2CU's data has him winning more than Chris, it is clear his is more likely to be accurate. So I take his as fact..+$33241

Running total, -$30172

50/100 6Max. I've left this beast till the end because this is the main area of contention. Fortunately, all 4 of our datasources offer results here.

G2CU's has him at +$40667, putting him over the 10K mark
Chris has him at +$37809, landing him a couple thousand short.
Highstakes and JCQ have him at +$30009, landing him way short.

Again I must thank Highstakes and Chris for posting complete session numbers. All three of the dataminers agree almost exactly on the time spent at the tables, JCQ and highstakes have him playing 7.95 hours, while Chris has him playing 7.97 hours. So is it possible that Chris has managed to pick up a session that no one else has?

As it turns out, that's exactly what's happened. Take a look at the session third from bottom on Chris' results. 1 min, 4 hands, +$7799. This session does not appear on highstakes' data. If you take 7799 from Chris' end result, 37809, you end up with 30010. Allowing for my dollar rounding, identical to highstakes and JCQ. Apart from this one session, all three dataminers agree excatly on the 50/100 6 max games, which if proven to be radically different from G2CU's results, is very strong evidence for my argument. Note that we now have three correlating results and one that sticks out like a sore thumb. G2CU's results are much different, less complete and simply do not make sense when faced with three independant sets of data all saying the same thing.

Now, we have three results, two which are identical and one that is almost. Normally we'd go with the two identical ones, but we know PT does not make sessions up so i'm willing to go with Chris' stats, which have G2CU up $+37809 for 50/100 6Max.

For those not keeping a running count, the total, after analysis I believe is generous to G2CU and giving him the benefit of the doubt in all cases, is +$7647.