The Two Point Conversion When Eight Down

[iH8poker]

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Also, if a team misses the 2 the first time, do you still think they are 42% the second time?

Football isn't some independent trial game and trying to reduce it to that is an insult to the game. This isn't craps.

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You know what your problem is? You are thinking as a game theorist and not a magician. Could you imagine if a football coach was half baked, but a magician? He would lose cause it is a competition. You are right for sure...making the 2 point on the second attempt is probably about 20%, not 42%, thus, not a good idea, as proven earlier.