The Two Point Conversion When Eight Down

[adios]

One of the problems is that when things don't work out i.e. the underdog comes in, coaches can't really explain their decision process to a math ignorant fan base (including the media). As simple as the mathematical concepts are, IMO most folks will dismiss a mathematically based argument out of hand without even considering it. IMO it's sort of a group think mentality. When you go against the accepted modus operandi things better work out If they don't the negative feedback is something most coaches would prefer not to deal with. I agree that this a weak justification, just an explanation.

BTW I think you're right on the money regarding the mathematical aspect of game time coaching decisions. I'm fairly certain that basketball strategy is one area where a more mathematical approach would benefit coaches a great deal. I base this mainly on the 3 point shot in basketball and how it should be utilized.