Big hand vs. Allen Cunningham

[Nate.]

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Why hasn't anyone even considered what hand ranges AC is putting me on here?

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Read my last post again.

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Isn't that really the crux of the argument... if my range is ahead of his hand he should fold, if not he should call.

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After taking into account the price the pot is giving him, right?

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Keeping in mind that he is very risk adverse and if the decission is borderline then he will fold.

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Nope. I mean, he's making proper tournament adjustments, but I can promise you he doesn't pray to the God of Finding a Better Spot Later.

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Put yourself in Allen's shoes. Both you and the villain (me) have been tight for 6 hours and on this hand you have shown strength and the villain has shown complete disregard for your strength

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You minraised and made a small flop bet. Then you made one big bet. That doesn't count as "complete disregard."

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and has come over the top for his tournament life. What do you have the villain on?

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Cunningham knows what he can and can't do with a 150-hand sample size (though he can do more than most with it). I think that you are first a young guy who made a quick all-in on a turn that put a lot of backdoor draws up, and only secondarily a guy who hasn't been caught out of line recently. As far as physical information goes, after that board and turn card and type of pause and verbal all-in, I would take whatever hand weightings I'd come up with and shift them toward draws and bluffs and scared hands and away from monsters.

The board is ace-high with some draws and the effective stacks are forty big blinds in a blind-steal situation. Do not try to induce big laydowns. If I'm in Cunningham's spot -- and this is all heavily dependent on a bunch of things -- I think my baseline calling range is AQ+. Against a typical live player this tightens a bit, but that's my starting point.

--Nate