Live tourny about 4hrs. ago

[jlocdog]

Lake Tahoe $70 no rebuy tournament.
73 players.....1800 in chips.....

Blinds at 400/800.....35 or so remain
I am chip leader of table with 15000 or so. I very well might be CL of tourny at this point. No worse than 3rd atleast.

Little insight....I am dominating table. Everytime I show down, it is a monster. This is allowing me to get away with a lot of positional betting and taking down alot of pots. Average stack at this point is about 4000 or so. On the hand immedietly preceeding this one guy goes all in for 1300. Next guy calls leaving 1500 behind. I push with KK. Everyone folds around to caller who pushes. I win. Them both out.

Now I am in the CO and it is folded to me. I look down and find two red aces. Very sweet. I decide to raise to 1600. I do this because I am trying to represent a steal and a bully. My raises though quite frequent have been garnering alot of respect (from all the good hands I've shown) and I felt that this hand was too strong to just take the blinds. Button folds and SB looks me over.

Read on SB....I have played with this guy many times before. Both in tournaments, and in cash games ranging from 3-6 to 15-30 to the 2/5 no limit they spread. I am very familiar with his play and I have to assume he knows me a little. He is very tight. Doesn't get out of line ever. Plays his good hands strong. Lays down marginals (A9,QJ,etc..)and won't bluff into a raise. Oh and by the way, he has about 11000 so he is other CL at table. Only guy that can hurt me.

Back to the hand. He thinks for a moment and just calls. BB folds. Right away I rule out AA(cause I got em),KK,QQ,and AK. I believe he would reraise with these hands. Remember he bets his strong hands. I have shown strength with my raise and he wouldn't slowplay here with a big hand. Just by calling my raise (mini as it may be) he has to have one of the following I think. PP (less than QQ), AQ,AJ,KQ,KJs,KTs (pushing it),QTs (really pushing it).

Flop comes K Q 4 rainbow. (pot is 4000 for math impaired) He bets 1500 into me! What to do?

If raise, how much? If call or called and turn is T! Now what? What if he continues to bet into you? Fold? Call? Allin?...

Please help break this puzzle. (I asked him after the tiourny what he had and he told me as he neveer showed)