Baseball situation question - 2nd base nobody out vs 3rd base one out?

[Jack of Arcades]

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this exact scenerio is outlined in BP's book.

it completely depends on what you are hoping to accomplish. trying to maximize your runs or maximize your chances of scoring one run.

bottom of a the 9th in a tie game, depending on who the batter is and who would be the next batter(s), bunting is a little better.

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The thing is, of course, that sacrifice bunting is never 100% successful.

I think you could never bunt ever, and it not be a mistake.

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You're going to have to bunt some of the time, for game theory reasons. Sometimes bad bunts became better bunts if the third-basemen can't play the bunt well, or if he's not expecting it at all.