Monumental mistake by Wasicka in the ME?

[seke2]

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It's far from a sure thing that Wasicka folds his way into second. It's quite feasible (as would have happened had Gold not sucked out) that Binger more than doubles up, and then Wasicka is the short stack. Getting Binger all-in against two others is the best way to ensure he gets knocked out. If Binger folds, Waskicka is still getting a sweet overlay with a big draw and a shot to double through Gold.

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It's a far cry from a sure thing, no question about that. But it's a possibility, and I'll willingly admit I've made some marginal folds for far less money when I was playing online and I was uncertain about a call.

Now, in this spot, I'd always, always call at any reasonable stakes, what the hell else were you hoping for when you played some middle suited connectors?

But would I consider folding for, say, a 40% chance of winning 2 million dollars? Probably not, given that calling is probably a 50% chance of winning far more money if you include all the endorsement/other exposure/future EV of comingin 1st...but there are certainly players capable of making that fold, and Wasicka was one of them, I guess. Or he totally sucks at poker.