How many young players out there actually make it???

[stinkypete]

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if its possible that variance can make you never win a hand again for the rest of your life, then its clearly possible that variance can hinder your chances at making it as a pro. the op asked how likely it is to "make it" starting out with $200. that isn't much of a bankroll for any limits and there is likely a stronger then average chance that he will go broke. i appreciate you shedding some insight on the matter however. i try to listen intently to the people who are smarter then me.

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he asked if variance is so great that it's impossible to make it. the answer is no. if you don't have the potential to make it, variance is not the reason. it's not even one of the contributing reasons. yes, variance can screw you in some cases if you're very unlucky. that doesn't mean that variance makes it impossible to make it.

the OP's post implies that variance could be some kind of evil thing that makes good players lose in the long run. it's just plain wrong.

i won't bother to try to explain this any further, you're probably smart enough to understand it and are just being difficult because you're tstonembd.

also, you should look up the difference between "than" and "then".