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Old 09-21-2006, 01:08 PM
kleinfeld kleinfeld is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 11
Default Re: Stars SNG Leaderboard Questions

Ok, I did some messing around with some formulas and came up with the following, and in my opinion, it’s pretty damn good, but let me know what you all think.
The following formula takes into account three things.
1) games played (G)
2) $ limit (L)… and,
3) Percentage of times in the money (P)

And here it is… G*(LOG(L/3)+0.2)*P… and the number you come up with is that players ‘score’ for that week, month or year.

So…. If one week a certain player played 300 SNG’s, at an average stake of $25, and made the money 42% of the time, the formula would look as follows…
G=300, L=25, P=.42
300*(LOG(25/3)+0.2)*.42
=141.22

You probably won’t be able to form an honest opinion of the formula unless you put it into an excel type program and play around with it, but if you can’t be bothered doing that, I’ll give some examples here, all of which are done for an imaginary weekly leaderboard…

250 games, make the money 33% of the time for varying limits…
$5, score 34.8... $10, score 59.64... $30, score 99.00... $100, score 142.14... $500, score 199.8... $1000, score 224.64.

By looking at the above scores it may seem impossible to beat the high limit guys, but that is untrue for a couple reasons. Firstly, I doubt 250 $1000 SNG’s are played on pokerstars on a weekly basis. So a low limit player should be able to play many, many more SNG’s than the higher limit guys. Secondly, a good player will presumably finish in the money a higher percentage of the time in the lower limits, increasing their ‘score’… To prove that anybody can win, I’m going to create an imaginary week for an imaginary GREAT player, then show a couple other ways that he/she can be beat.

Great Player… 370 games, average of $350 SNG’s, make the money 47%…. SCORE = 394.22
How to beat him…..
550 games, average of $50 SNG’s, make the money 52%… SCORE = 406.65
860 games, average of $10 SNG’s, make the money 64%… SCORE = 397.87

So, if this ‘great player’ exists, he/she will definitely be tough to beat, but it could be done…

… It’s 3am here in Australia, and I’ve said enough. I can’t believe I spend my nights doing nonsense like this, but I love it…. Let me know what you all think…

Kleinfeld… aka, MelbourneJoe.
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