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Old 09-19-2006, 04:11 PM
centja1 centja1 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Baton Rouge, LA
Posts: 254
Default Re: looking ahead Week 3 Atlanta vs. NO

[ QUOTE ]
ATl pounds two quality teams NO barely beats two teams that wont win 7 games combined............ The crowd may be fired up till Vick picks up one 3rd and long with his legs and break there spitits in half. This line is a joke. Take Atlanta now because it will be -7 by Sunday. Performity correct me if I am very wrong.

p.s. If Reggie Bush thinks NFL players are fast wait until he tries to outrun Abraham{ if he plays} and Deangelo Hall if he lines up as a wideout.

[/ QUOTE ]

since i'm a pugilist NO fan, i'll give the homer take from the other site [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img].

New orleans is nothing more than a mediocre team right now, but both of their games should have had greater margins of victory than actually happened. They had trouble scoring touchdowns in the redzone against cleveland (4 FG) and they spotted GB 13 points in the first quarter due to a couple of freak turnovers (brees had the ball knocked out of his hand as he went to pass and another interception that was tipped and acrobatically caught by al harris at the sideline). Despite the setbacks, the offense played superbly the rest of the game, outscoring green bay 34-14.

that said, the only way new orleans wins this game on monday night is if vick has one of his bad games (entirely possible) and the crowd remains in it the entire way.

i've watched both falcons games as well and their running game is a sight to behold. The only thing is that vick accounts for quite a decent percentage of that, so if the saints linebackers and defensive ends can contain him somewhat, the falcons running game may not be as dominant as the past two weeks.

This scenario also unfolds if the saints jump out to an early lead as I don't believe Jim Mora to be the greatest strategic coach in the NFL and definitely has the capability to start calling a decent number of passing plays and going away from their obvious strength.

On top of all of that, it is hard to overstate how big a rivalry game this is for the fans. It isn't cowboys/skins or giants/eagles, but this is the one home game the fans care about more than any other every season. I've been to several of these games in atlanta, and i think the same goes for their fans also. Add in the first game back in the dome with U2 and Green Day warming up the crowd beforehand and I think the saints have more than a legitimate shot of covering that taken with the juice you're paying to lay the points make this not a big edge, if one at all.

I don't think anyone really knows what the line should be, although the falcons are undervalued, if anything. But, the high juice on laying the points (-127 right now at Pinny) would keep me away from it, although I think there is value in betting the saints moneyline at +172.
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