AVERAGE SPEED VIII: GAME THREAD

[soah]

Zurvan,

This game would be a lot easier if I could be sure about you one way or the other. So hopefully you are a villager and will listen to this.

You say "I've never seen a villager list 8 or 9 people that they'd "be willing to vote" or "should be looked at" to start a day." You have previously referred to it as my "suspect list". Look at it again. Nowhere do I say it is my suspect list. Nowhere do I say that I am willing to vote for anyone on my list. Nor does it have 8-9 people on it. I briefly discussed seven people, three of which I specifically said I was NOT voting for. I do not understand why you think it would be villagery of me to just put blinders on. There are still FOUR wolves out there. Just focusing on one or two people, while ignoring everything else entirely, is NOT helpful in the long run. You say that it is a great wolf tactic for me to post a long list of people so that I can justify voting for any of them. Why would it not be an even greater wolf tactic to just wait and see where the wagons form, and then conveniently pick a couple villagers out of that group as your primary suspects? In short, you are REALLY jumping to conclusions. Just because it is POSSIBLE for me to act like this as a wolf, does not mean that it is LIKELY.

As for xorbie, in order to use his death to implicate me, you must assume all of the following:

- I am a wolf
- I believed that xorbie was the seer
- I believed that xorbie peeked me
- I believed that xorbie's reference to me was a seer clue
- I believed that this was more likely than someone else being the seer

If you would like, I could go step by step to show why each of these individually is unlikely, which will show that the probability of ALL of them being true is quite remote.