AQo in BB. Call down overcards vs 2 tight-typical?

[MN_Mime]

[ QUOTE ]
I really cannot credit someone with a 4% PFR to raise UTG+1 with 99 or TT. TT is a long shot and 99 is no way in hell.

[/ QUOTE ]

I've seen a number of people suggest this so I did some manual searches and I'm now working on PT query to look into it.

My initial scans suggest this is simply not true, but a good starting point so perhaps I should have weighted the percentages more towards being screwed [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

I looked at about 20 players with no less than 300 hands and a VPIP between 4 and 4.2 (the range of both opponents) and found mostly offsuit connector UTG/UTG+1 raises (all of which I dominate except AK) and number of PP ranging all the way down to 66 & 77. This last surprised me since my range only goes down to 99 and I raise significantly more hands.

When I have a breakdown I'll provide it, but I think the reason people think the raise range is so narrow is that the smaller hands simply don't get shown down so they only ever see the monsters.

BTW - not to be results oriented, but you'll see that he raised TT UTG+1 PF in the actual play.