Re: *Official* HSP 8/14
Gus doesn't have to put Daniel on a hand. Checking is always going to be best. Remember, he knows DN doesn't have a 5- which is the only hand that would call a river bet but check behind if checked to. So Gus knows he's either doubling up (if DN is boated), making whatever DN bets on the river (if DN has a straight or decides to bluff the end), or not getting another chip (if DN has anything else- he does NOT call a significant river bet with an overpair). And with those options, checking is clearly best.
It might be tempting to bet like $25K to make it look like a blocking bet- and which also might squeeze a call from an overpair, but makes less from a straight- but he'd be sick if DN just called it with his 66. And bet/3-betting is even stronger than CRing, so DN might really get away from a small boat vs. that line. Gus played it perfectly, though it wasn't too difficult, and of course got very lucky on the turn.
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