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Old 08-14-2006, 06:02 PM
Assani Fisher Assani Fisher is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
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Default Re: Is there any game more misplayed than this one by the average play

[ QUOTE ]
but this doesn't really seem like the type of hand that could properly illustrate great poker skill all that well. It does show that there are some iffy players at that level, no question there.

[/ QUOTE ]For the record, the intent of those hands was to show the iffy play and not to make any comment whatsoever on my play.

As for your post, I agree that I'm most likely a dog, especially considering there are 3 players and there is a chance that I may be playing for 1/2 the pot. However, I believe that we're dealing with implied odds here. If the T or J comes then we have the absolute nuts on the turn and there is no low still. More importantly, a good player probably won't be able to draw to his low after you bet(he obviously wasn't a good player).

Now as you eluded to, we had about a 15% chance of hitting our draw and an 85% chance of missing it. So if we lose that $200 85 times, that means that we have to make about $1150 on average when we do hit it(there is already over $500, so we'd only have to make $650 more on the turn/river). I think that those implied odds are worthwhile.

And of course, this doesn't even take into account that we may just have the best hand and/or we may be able to win the pot on the turn if the other guy doesn't hit a full house.
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