The Freakonomics of Tournaments: A Preview (74s UTG at final table)

[DLizzle]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I watched the full hh of this tourney, and I'd just like to encourage others to do so, because nath makes similar UTG raises numerous times, and just see how many times he takes the blinds uncontested.

[/ QUOTE ] I watched the FT, where this hand occurred. I tallied nath's UTG raises from when it was 8-handed to when it was 5-handed. He played in the UTG position 11 times. He raised 6 times. Two of those times he had a good hand (AK, 88). He was called twice (in other words, he was called 33% of the time). Net outcome: negative 25k chips.

For those who argue that nath had the table running scared, he was called by a 33 and by an A9. Sounds like the table adjusted well to nath's playing style.

Sorry to bring up the facts. I know you defenders of Nath like to go with the "feel of the thing" and ignore the inconvenient facts.

[/ QUOTE ]

Ok, now these "facts" you bring up are terribly flawed. He was called twice, had a coinflip both of those times, and lost both. I know enough about poker math to know that there's a little thing we call equity, and if you factor that in, instead of your terribly results oriented thinking, I believe your -25k number looks a little stupid. Not to say that taking the equity of each situation showdown he happened to get involved in is a great analysis, just showing how ridiculous your post was.

Also, the fact that he was called by 33 is proof of people adjusting correctly? Personally I think it's proof of how this style makes people play like [censored].