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Old 07-05-2006, 11:09 PM
jcm4ccc jcm4ccc is offline
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Default Re: The Freakonomics of Tournaments: A Preview (74s UTG at final table

[ QUOTE ]
I think some of you are massively overestimating the amount that player's tend to adjust to a player like nath.

[/ QUOTE ] You can give the most favorable assumptions to this hand (the medium stacks reraise with only the top 5 percent, button and SB push with top 10 percent, bb pushes with top 20 percent), and it's still a minus EV play. And when he does win, typically he is winning 5k. When he loses, he is typically losing 30k. So the math doesn't work, either in present EV or future EV. No matter what his table image is, or who he's playing, or whatever. this hand is a piece of [censored].

if the math don't work, the theory don't work.
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