WSOP Main Event Winner: Male or Female?

[ESKiMO-SiCKNE5S]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
which side is the easy money?

female definitely looks better yes?

[/ QUOTE ]

Is there anything else that has never come close to happening, on which you'd like to take +1000?

I saw a guy jump into the East River once. When they pulled him out, they asked him why he jumped in. He said he was trying to jump OVER the river. He was pretty sure he couldn't make it, but the odds he took really had some value...

[/ QUOTE ]

btw this is just ridiculous to say, terrible logic on so many levels.

how about betting on the likelihood of a woman president after the next US election? its never come close before so no way it happens in '08 right? ill gladly take a bet that the next US president is female with good enough odds.

look at what the likelihood is THIS time around.

look at other tournaments to see how women in general have been placing.

look at the increase in pro female players. and the experience of the older ones.

look at the TOC! annie duke is the champion of champions! (note: anything i ever say about annie duke is a joke....)

im not saying that it is very likely that a female wins, but both sides of this bet seem pretty pointless imo.


in fact i just thought of a better analogy, which works pretty much perfectly.

consider last year making a bet that an australian would win the wsop.

australians had never even come close before in the ME.

BUT

australian poker enthusiasm had been growing. more and more players were achieving higher results. more aussies were developing confidence. australian poker rooms (well crown at least) went from empty to packed every night of the week.

looking at trend analysis you can see that an aussie winning it was really not that unlikely.

im not trying to start a pointless argument here, but seriously do more research on this before you risk a large proportion of your bankroll on it. this is poker, it revolves a large amount on luck. if chris moneymaker can win it (note: i do believe money800 has improved a lot since then, but when he won it was 90%+ of pure luck) then anyone can.