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Old 06-05-2006, 12:37 PM
Badger Badger is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 1,664
Default Re: AQs headsup against a TAG reraise

I didn't have a good feeling about how to play this hand, so I pokerstoved it:

Board: As 8s 3s 7s

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 34.2476 % 25.16% 09.09% { AhQh }
Hand 2: 65.7524 % 56.66% 09.09% { JJ+, AQs+, KQs, AKo }

I think that's a pretty accurate 3-betting range from a tag.

Boz- why is this not WA/WB at the turn? If he's got a hand we're afraid of we're drawing dead. If he doesn't he's drawing to a 1 out to win.

What is the villain calling the flop with? I think he may have decided he's going to showdown with AK,AQ or he's calling with a spade draw- Probably Js at the worst.

The turn call seems he's getting fancy with the Ks, doesn't like his Qs or Js or is continuing his call down with an A. None of these are good situations for us.

So I'm with OP on c/f here. I think villain would have a hard time bluffing at this pot with a hand we beat. Boz- are you advocating b/f to try and take this pot down without a showdown against a better hand, hoping for a call from a worse hand, or not wanting to have to c/f against a bluff. Or something else?
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