Sygamel's 2005 NFL Regular Season Picks Log

[YoureToast]

[ QUOTE ]
The Pinnacle line was at -107, not -104. I will be happy to do the math for you (though I'd rather not have to do this every time), as sure as you are I did the wrong thing:

Probability the Raiders lose by 8 or more: 46.11%
Probability the Raiders lose by exactly 7: 5.36%
Probability the Raiders lose by 6 or less or win: 48.53%

Win calculation based on +7.5 -107 -- ($50)*(.5389)+(-$53.50)*(.4611)=+$2.28

Win calculation based on +7 +106 -- ($50)*(.4853)+(0)*(.0536)+(-$47.17)*(.4611)=+$2.51

[/ QUOTE ]

Sygamel, what I like about you is how you have dealt with the bullsh&* people on this forum have thrown at you and that you have the confidence of your conviction. I don't know if its smart, but I'm going to be following your plays all season, and putting a lot more money on them than you. We'll see how we do. I may be the sucker, but I just don't have the ability to cap games myself. If you do well, I'll do well, and there may be a little reward for you at the end. [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img]