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Old 05-16-2006, 04:04 PM
matrix matrix is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: UK
Posts: 7,050
Default Re: continuation bets losing money, how do I adjust?

Sounds like you are CBing the wrong types of players at the wrong times.

I continuation bet 80%+ of the time for around 2/3 - full pot size and my CB's show a profit - I get called maybe 1/3 of the time.

I still win a lot of pots that I get called on with 2nd barrels or backing into a good hand.

I CB big because I want to also play good hands fast if I'm playing half decent players they'll soon spot that I raise a smaller amount more often than I bet a Pot sized amount and call my CB's frequently. If I lower my CB size then I also need to lower my good hand bet size which means for my good hands when I'm called the pot is built less quickly.

I suggest you adjust by being really tight for the first 5 orbits and getting some reads on the people you play against. Only CB(bluff) at players you think might fold.

For the most part I need a good reason NOT to CB. For me good reasons include:

flop is garbage - and I can't represent a good hand
caller is a calling station
there are more than 2 villains
I CB'ed a lot successfully recently
caller is very tight and likely has a hand
caller seems to be aware of CB strategy and how to counter it
I have less than 6 clean outs

Check folding once in a while increases your FE for the times you do semi-bluff
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