Busted Draw...good spot for river raise?

[franchise99]

Party 10-20 full ring. Villain and I both have 2k. I have logged around 3,000 hands with villain and he is a solid tag (VPIP-20, PFR-6, AF-2.5). I noticed that his aggression factor on the river is 7 and thought this might be a good spot for a raise on the river. This make any sense? I figured his small river bet was usually a block, and occasionally a monster begging for a reraise. Villain probably views me like himself, but a little tighter and more aggressive. I doubt he would expect me to make this river raise without a legit hand very often.

What hands can I get to fold with this raise?

What should I expect to get called down with?

Is this + expected value given my relatively tight image?

Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $10/$20
9 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is Button with 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, MP1 folds, <font color="#cc0000">MP2 calls, 2 folds, Hero calls, SB folds, BB checks.

Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($, 3 players- Main pot: $)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $45</font>, BB calls, UTG+1 folds.

Turn: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($90, 2 players- Main pot: $)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $125</font>, <font color="#cc0000">BB raises to $250</font>, Hero calls.

River: 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($590, 2 players- Main pot: $)
<font color="#cc0000">BB bets $200</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $900</font>

*** Edited out results. I'm stupid and am new at using the hand converter. Thanks jkrantz.