Can you Ace my quiz?

[Big_Jim]

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All,

I think that calling in hand 4 for purely set value is wrong.

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Missed this. You are right.

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We're throwing $2.50 into a pot that will has $5, with an opponent who is going to c-bet us virtually 100% of the time when we hit our set (that should be an extra $6-$7.50). That's giving us a pretty solid look at 5-to-1 odds, plus anything we can squeeze out of him after that. Set draws are 7.5-to-1 against, so if we can grab an extra $10 out of him on the turn and/or river, we're making a profit. After his c-bet and our call, we'll have a pot with $20ish; I think our implied odds are just fine here.

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If you win $20ish, you are just breaking even. And that's in a very optimistic scenario where villain flops something and he actually wants to put more than just a C-bet in.

Compare that to raising preflop. He'll fold most of his garbage hands incorrectly, since garbage hands are actually not bad vs 33. He'll call with many speculative hands which he will often fold incorrectly postflop. And occassionally he will "slowplay" a big hand. In those occasions we're very unlike to lose our stack, but he is in great danger of doing so.

Just put yourself in villain's shoes and think of how you would play a hand like 66 from the button in a re-raised pot. If you're button here, do you want the BB to re-raise preflop? Do you want to call a flop bet without hitting your set?

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Word.