KENTUCKY DERBY>>>WHO DO YOU LIKE????

[NajdorfDefense]

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Triple H,

Bob and John's race in the Wood was much better than it looked, in my opinion. His thorograph figure for it is surprisingly fast (like 0 1/2 or something) largely because I think he lost a ton of ground on the turn.

Compare Brother Derek, who's fast races have come getting dream trips on the rail at a Santa Anita track he obviously adores.

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I dunno. In the rain I like him, but he lost that ground because he failed to change leads and almost blew the race, another 1/8 mile and Jazil woulda won by 5 lengths and the final furlong was awfully slow. Perhaps there's some value at 12-1 or so. Two weeks ago his odds were 8-1 or so and they've done nothing but drop.
There are 7 horses with better Beyers than him 3 with multiple ones higher than him. Hard to like here and he certainly can get pushed out wider in a 20-horse field around the turn, which would basically kill any chance whatsoever for him, and getting buried inside behind the 4 speed horses as they die off, one by one, may be a worse fate. He will need a perfect trip.

I agree that BroDerek is your typicaly 5th or 7th place Derby finisher, maybe he gets up for the Show. Definitely consider for superfectas.

Naj