Limit Holdem Hypothetical Question

[superchoatie]

I think we can play many more hands per hour, because we want to be in the pot with most of our legitimate hands, and whenever we can isolate the man on our right.

Let's say we hold AJo, and we see villian enter with an exposed card lower than a jack. I think we raise every time here, because we have a good chance of dominating our villian.

If our villian opens the betting, we're in great shape because of our informational advantage. If everyone folds around including our villian, we get the blinds plus our villian's money, which is 2.5 BB. If this situation (everyone folds) happens once every 2.5 hours, we've doubled our hourly rate from 1 to 2 BB. This effect might be even more noticable if our villian raises. Let's say villain is in Early position and we see a 9 of hearts, and he raises. We can reraise with QTo and put villian on a very small range of hands. Since we know he's solid, he either has 99, or A9s (hearts).

Because we know villian is a good player we really almost know BOTH of his cards. (he's not playing 93o, K9o etc. from early or middle position). Thus we're in a position to isolate him with reraises and take down some large pots.

We may also be able to isolate him with lousy hands profitably. Let's say we hold Q3o, and we see the villain has the 9 of hearts. When Villian opens we raise. Now if villian calls, and the flop comes with no 9 and no Ace but overcards to the 9, we can probably bluff him off the hand. if a Q falls we can value bet.

Whenever the table allows us to isolate the villian I think we're going to average several big bets. We're never going to pay off our Villian but he's frequently going to lose to us.

Because of hand selection I think we can treat it as if 2 cards are out of the deck when villian raises or calls from early or middle position.

I'd say we make our 1 BB per hour on our legitimate hands, plus we can enter half the time villain enters (whenever we have at least one overcard to villains card) and we probably average at least 2 or 3 BB on our plays against villain. Since the table is solid yet doesn't catch on to the situation, I think we're isolating villain 50% of the time (4 BB EV?), getting everyone to fold 25% of the time (2.5BB EV) and getting into a screwed up situation 25% of the time (-2BB). This totals out to 2.25BB per tricky play.

So, maybe we have 1.1 BB per hour now on our regular hands, and we're also playing half of the time when villain opens the betting (let's say he plays 4 hands per hour and opens twice). Thus we're getting 2.25BB additional per hour from our sneaky plays.

3.35 BB per hour.