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Old 04-07-2006, 04:22 PM
Kurn, son of Mogh Kurn, son of Mogh is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Rhode Island and Providence Plantations
Posts: 9,146
Default Re: ($5) Busted out first hand with 99

Preflop: Fine

Flop: Your bet was too big, especially on a coordinnated 2-tone board with 4 opponents. If I bet this flop, it's like 100-120 and I'm prepared to bail to any serious pressure. The problem here is, there's really no way you can adequately protect your very vulnerable hand. That was compounded when you got 2 callers. had you bet 100 and got 2 callers, you have a bit more wiggle room on the turn.

Turn: If you bet anything here, you're commiting all your chips, That T was a terrible card for you. It looks like you pick up a better draw, but not only does the two-flush devalue the draw by 2 outs, but certain other possible hands now beat you if you improve (your set outs are extremely suspect now). You still have an M of 25 if you get out now. Pushing is the best play if you choose to play on, but I'd rather check and fold to any serious bet.

Note how differently the turn plays out if you make a probe bet of 100-120 on the flop. If called in 2 places, you have an outside chance to see the river without putting the entire tourney at stake.

The real key here is evaluating the flop. Sure you have an overpair, but it's a weak one against a big field *and* most of your outs to improve are tainted.
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