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Hi all,
my first post in 2+2 so I am not sure if this is the right forum. I am currently trying to improve my move-in strategy in the endgame of NLHE tournaments. Using Pokerstove to calculate the expectation of preflop distributions I found one result I cannot explain: Moving in with distribution D1:= 55+,A7s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,A9o+,KQo,Qjo has equity of 39.642% if called by distribution D2:= 99+,AJs+,AJo+ Now I would like to know if the caller can improve by adding 88 to his calling range. 88 against D1 has 50.325% equity according to Pokerstove. So I would assume that 88 should be added to the calling distribution D2. But D1 called by 88+,AJs+,AJo+ has equity of 40.409%. This (according to my calculation) would improve the overall expectation of the move-in!? What I do not understand: The calling distribution D2 consists of 84 hands (99+/36, AJs+/12, AJo+/36). Adding 88 (6 hands) I would expect that Equity of D1 vers. (D2,88) = (Equity of D1 vers. (D2) * 84) + Equity of D1 vers. (88) * 6)/90. This yields: Equity of D1 vers. (D2,88) = (0,39642 * 84 + 0,49675 * 6)/90 = 0,40311 Which would decrease the expectation of moving in. Do I miss something here? Is there a better place to post this? By the way I am using Pokerstove version 1.21. Thanks a lot for Your help!! |
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