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  #21  
Old 07-30-2007, 01:00 PM
linuxrocks linuxrocks is offline
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Default Re: Impossible Spot in the Sunday Mill 530

Does any body think that OP should have checked the river? My gut feeling is that at best, you are getting a call from a hand like AQ and that's too thin.
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  #22  
Old 07-30-2007, 01:00 PM
linuxrocks linuxrocks is offline
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Default Re: Impossible Spot in the Sunday Mill 530

[ QUOTE ]
INSG--

I think that people who would be getting this brand of tricky with a hand that beats KK are many of the same people who would make a very small bet on the river with it.

This is gross, but I've seen this play with all sorts of hands that KK beats--every once in a while even no-pair hands--and especially because the river improved a chunk of hands that still lose to you, I think you have to call.

If I had to put a number on it, I'd say you're ahead 31% of the time.

--Nate

[/ QUOTE ]

How did you come up with the 31% number?
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  #23  
Old 07-30-2007, 02:35 PM
2005 2005 is offline
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Default Re: Impossible Spot in the Sunday Mill 530

[ QUOTE ]
Does any body think that OP should have checked the river? My gut feeling is that at best, you are getting a call from a hand like AQ and that's too thin.

[/ QUOTE ]

Checking the river is pretty terrible, IMO. I'm betting less though. Probably 4500 and calling a push.

Also, as played, this is a call. It seems to me like he is saying one of two things. Either he thinks you have absolutely nothing and is bluffing or he thinks his Q is good. Your hand looks pretty weak, especially with the big bet on the river.
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  #24  
Old 07-30-2007, 03:13 PM
ASPoker8 ASPoker8 is offline
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Default Re: Impossible Spot in the Sunday Mill 530

[ QUOTE ]
Does any body think that OP should have checked the river? My gut feeling is that at best, you are getting a call from a hand like AQ and that's too thin.

[/ QUOTE ]

no way, villain checked turn (hero checked behind), then checked river
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