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#21
05-15-2007, 09:10 AM
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Re: how many hands before stats are reliable
Stats are never reliable because poker is a game of luck.
Example: I had AA against my opponent's AKo. The stats say I should reliably win this, but my opponent draws a four-flush on me and I lose. Stats should be ignored. 
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#23
05-15-2007, 09:45 AM
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Re: how many hands before stats are reliable
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] About 1500 [/ QUOTE ] Ya, this is about right. If you are down after 1500 or at most 2k hands you should probably quit poker because you're obv a losing player. [/ QUOTE ] ROFL, you are BATSHT INSANE. Two ways, check probability forum for formula that uses win rate and standard deviation. Or, make sure your won $ when saw flop is >42% and filter your PT for all hands that went to showdown (Wont be more than 500). Figure out your money weighted average equity for each street then average it for all hands. If you are above 50% in money weighted average equity, and your won $ when saw flop is greater than 33%, you are probably good. Otherwise, quit poker.
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#26
05-15-2007, 04:34 PM
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Re: how many hands before stats are reliable
[ QUOTE ]
5 tournaments [/ QUOTE ] two words: jamie gold he only played in 1 tournament that i know of and he's the best player in the world/world champion
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#27
05-15-2007, 04:41 PM
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Re: how many hands before stats are reliable
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] About 1500 [/ QUOTE ] Ya, this is about right. If you are down after 1500 or at most 2k hands you should probably quit poker because you're obv a losing player. [/ QUOTE ] ROFL, you are BATSHT INSANE. Two ways, check probability forum for formula that uses win rate and standard deviation. Or, make sure your won $ when saw flop is >42% and filter your PT for all hands that went to showdown (Wont be more than 500). Figure out your money weighted average equity for each street then average it for all hands. If you are above 50% in money weighted average equity, and your won $ when saw flop is greater than 33%, you are probably good. Otherwise, quit poker. [/ QUOTE ] umm no.... 1500 is in fact correct. rvg
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#28
05-15-2007, 04:43 PM
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Re: how many hands before stats are reliable
You've never heard of a person having 2k hand breakeven stretch....lol u r smaaaaaaarrrrrrtttttt
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#29
05-15-2007, 04:44 PM
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Re: how many hands before stats are reliable
1500 is about right for me.
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#30
05-15-2007, 04:45 PM
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Re: how many hands before stats are reliable
[ QUOTE ]
You've never heard of a person having 2k hand breakeven stretch....lol u r smaaaaaaarrrrrrtttttt [/ QUOTE ] Trust me, i've played thousands of hands and no way a good player breaks even over 2000 hands. 2000 hands is like 70 hours in a live game. You are trying to say a poker pro could work for 70 hours and not make a profit???? rvg
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