Official April Thread: General Discussion/etc

[Christophers]

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You guys are nuts if you think 30+buyins are normal parts of mid stakes games, even under todays conditions.

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its not normal, its rare, probably a quartery to yearly thing, if it was normal it wouldn't be frustrating.

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so do 3 almost consecutive 15 buyin downswings count as a 45 buyin downswing?



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Post the full graph, it looks funny.

[Reef]

already did

(oops original graph stopped at 84k mark, but you can see how it ended)

[punter11235]

Reef, maybe you just play bad ?
Its hard to imagine not winning at MSNL for such long time if you play decently...

[Reef]

you should know that 95K breakeven hand streaks are possible for a winning player .. also we've seen graphs from HEK and equal demonstrating this.

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I'm well in the green post-frist

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I *MIGHT* have finished with my running horribly sick bad days for now.

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I will for sure run the sklansky EV calculator once its made public

[MTBlue]

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they are only rare for 4 tabling nit-jobs who table select and play under amazing conditions, or people who lie, or gods.

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Catch, I throw in lots of hands every month and I can't remember a 30 buyin downswing. I think you need to look at your goofy style before you start throwing insults.

[jalexand42]

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EV calcs don't mean [censored],

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I think they mean a lot.

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They actually don't. It is only a measure of when you got your money in good based on the actual cards.

For example, if you have 44, you call a raise, board is K76r, you float in position, and spike your 4 on the turn and AA stacks off, you just sucked out on someone huge, but your EV calc could show that you did a great job getting your money in ahead without being indicative that you ran white hot in that hand.

The opposite is true when you play a hand expert and have the exact opposite happen to you, or if you have KK < AA all in preflop, etc.

Someone needs to write a 'luck calculator' that calculates how often you get ass raped compared to the statistically predicted amount of ass rape. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[HEK]

ass rape calculator lol

[Sponger.]

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you should know that 95K breakeven hand streaks are possible for a winning player .. also we've seen graphs from HEK and equal demonstrating this.

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Possible, not likely

If I was down 20 BI in my last 50k hands I couldn't imagine being as ignorant as you.

[jsnipes28]

I've had lots of 20 bi downers.
Difference is tilt accounts for a large portion of them.
(like the first 10 are ridiculous bs then the next ten are coolers like T9o<KK pf [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[Reef]

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you should know that 95K breakeven hand streaks are possible for a winning player .. also we've seen graphs from HEK and equal demonstrating this.

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Possible, not likely

If I was down 20 BI in my last 50k hands I couldn't imagine being as ignorant as you.

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asfdlkajs;lfjaslf

I was never down 20 BI.. just a really long breakeven streak basically.. graphs and stuff coming later